Who Will Win the WSOP Main Event? Shari Geller and I Both Predict the Winner

by Lou on October 29, 2010

Last night I had attorney, poker player, columnist, writer, and blogger Shari Geller (pictured left) as a guest on my radio show, Keep Flopping Aces, which can be heard online at www.roundersradio.com live and in real time every Thursday night at 6 p.m. Pacific time (9 p.m. Eastern), or as a podcast for on-demand listening.  Shari just finished a series of articles for Poker Player Newspaper in which she chronicled and profiled each member of the November Nine.

So the time was right to review the upcoming conclusion to the main event, and take a stab at predicting who might win.

Both Shari and predicted that John Dolan would win it, with John Racener as our second choice.  Although Jonathan Duhamel has a massive  lead with nearly 66 million chips, Dolan is in second place with 46 million.  Although Duhamel has the best position at the table, since he acts immediately after Dolan, who acts after the third leading chip stack, Joseph Cheong with 23.5 million, I think Duhamel may be prone to take gambles he probably shouldn’t, and therefore susceptible to losing a big chunk of his chips.

Michael Mizrachi acts immediately after Duhamel, and there’s no doubt that the Grinder is having a WSOP for the ages, however, he only has 16.7 million chips and will have to gather some ammunition in a pretty big hurry if he want to be a force at the table.  The argument for Mizrachi is that he is the best known player at the final table and is clearly on his game right now. The argument against him is that he needs more chips, and if you are minimizing that argument as you read this, you don’t have to look any further back in time than last year’s final table when Phil Ivey was in that same predicament and went out with a whimper.  He never caught cards, never mounted a charge, never built his stacks, and was never a force at the table.

On the other hand, Joe Cada came from being all-in to winning the event, so it is possible to go on a rush and stampede your way to victory.  Anything can happen.  Anyone can win.  And I’m quite likely to wake up after this event ends with egg all over my face.

But I am going out on a limb and I’d like you to do it too. Let me know your predictions, along with your rationale.  Post them here. Some of us will look like geniuses; most of us will look pathetically ignorant, but that’s the fun of it.   Isn’t it?

Comments on this entry are closed.

Previous post:

Next post: